How Likely Is a New Madrid Earthquake?

By Michael Ferguson

The New Madrid seismic zone is a region located in the central United States that has experienced devastating earthquakes in the past. Many people living in the area have grown increasingly concerned about the likelihood of another earthquake occurring.

What Is The New Madrid Seismic Zone?

The New Madrid seismic zone is a swath of land that stretches from northeastern Arkansas to southern Illinois and includes parts of Missouri, Tennessee, Kentucky, and Mississippi. It is named after the town of New Madrid, Missouri, which was at the epicenter of a series of four earthquakes that occurred in 1811 and 1812.

Why Is The New Madrid Seismic Zone So Active?

The reason for the high level of seismic activity in this region is due to its location on a fault line where two tectonic plates meet. This fault line has been slowly moving for millions of years, causing stress to build up and eventually releasing it as an earthquake.

How Likely Is Another Earthquake To Occur?

Predicting earthquakes is notoriously difficult. However, based on historical records and scientific data, it is estimated that there is a 25-40% chance of another earthquake with a magnitude of 6 or higher occurring in this region within the next 50 years.

The Importance Of Preparedness

While it’s impossible to predict exactly when or where an earthquake will occur, being prepared can help mitigate its impact. The Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA) recommends taking steps such as securing heavy furniture and appliances to walls, having an emergency supply kit on hand, and developing a family communication plan.

  • Secure Heavy Objects: Bolt tall furniture such as bookcases and dressers to walls so they don’t topple over during an earthquake.
  • Create An Emergency Supply Kit: This should include items such as water, non-perishable food, flashlights, and a first-aid kit.
  • Develop A Family Communication Plan: Decide on a meeting place outside the home and make sure everyone knows how to contact each other in case of an emergency.

In Conclusion

The New Madrid seismic zone is a region that has experienced significant earthquakes in the past and is likely to experience more in the future. While it’s impossible to predict exactly when or where an earthquake will occur, being prepared can help mitigate its impact. By taking steps such as securing heavy furniture, having an emergency supply kit on hand, and developing a family communication plan, you can help ensure that you and your loved ones are ready for any potential earthquake.