Is the New Madrid Fault Active?

By Michael Ferguson

The New Madrid Fault is a major seismic zone located in the central United States. It stretches from northeastern Arkansas to southern Illinois, and it has a history of producing some of the most powerful earthquakes in the country.

But is this fault still active? Let’s take a closer look.

Background Information on the New Madrid Fault

The New Madrid Fault was responsible for some of the largest earthquakes in U.S. history. In 1811 and 1812, a series of four earthquakes with magnitudes greater than 7.0 rocked the region. These quakes were so powerful that they caused the Mississippi River to flow backward, and they were felt as far away as Boston and Washington D.C.

Since then, there have been numerous smaller earthquakes in the area, but none have come close to the size of those that occurred in 1811 and 1812.

Is the New Madrid Fault Still Active?

Yes, the New Madrid Fault is still active. According to scientists, there is a 7-10% chance that a magnitude 7 or larger earthquake will occur in this region within the next 50 years.

However, it’s important to note that predicting earthquakes is an imprecise science. While scientists can monitor seismic activity and make predictions based on past events, it’s impossible to know exactly when or where an earthquake will occur.

What Would Happen if a Major Earthquake Occurred?

If a major earthquake were to occur along the New Madrid Fault today, it could have devastating consequences. The region is home to many large cities, including Memphis and St. Louis, which could be severely impacted by strong ground shaking.

In addition to damage from shaking, there could also be secondary effects such as landslides and liquefaction (when soil loses strength and behaves like a liquid). These effects could further increase damage and loss of life.

Conclusion

In summary, the New Madrid Fault is still active and there is a chance that a major earthquake could occur in the region within the next 50 years. While we can’t predict exactly when or where an earthquake will occur, it’s important for those living in the area to be prepared for the possibility. This includes having an emergency plan in place and ensuring that homes and buildings are up to code for seismic safety.