Is the New Madrid Fault Due for an Earthquake?

By Alice Nichols

The New Madrid Fault, located in the central United States, is a notorious fault line known for producing some of the largest earthquakes in North America. The last major earthquake on this fault occurred in 1811 and 1812, with an estimated magnitude of 7.5-7.7 on the Richter scale.

What is the New Madrid Fault?

The New Madrid Fault is a seismic zone that stretches from northeastern Arkansas to southern Illinois, passing through parts of Missouri, Kentucky, Tennessee, and Mississippi. It is named after the town of New Madrid, Missouri, which was heavily impacted by the earthquakes of 1811 and 1812.

The fault line is unique because it lies within a tectonic plate rather than at a plate boundary like most other faults. This means that earthquakes on this fault are not caused by two plates sliding against each other but rather by the buildup and release of pressure within a single plate.

Is the Fault Due for an Earthquake?

Scientists have been studying the New Madrid Fault for decades to try to predict when it will produce another major earthquake. While it’s impossible to predict exactly when an earthquake will occur, researchers have identified several indicators that suggest a quake could be imminent.

One factor is the frequency of smaller earthquakes in the region. According to the United States Geological Survey (USGS), there have been over 4,000 earthquakes in the New Madrid seismic zone since 1974. While most of these quakes were too small to be felt by humans, their frequency suggests that there is still significant activity along the fault.

Another factor is changes in groundwater levels and gas emissions. Before major earthquakes, there have been reports of well levels changing and gas bubbles appearing in water sources near fault lines.

The Importance of Preparedness

While scientists cannot predict exactly when an earthquake will occur on the New Madrid Fault, it’s important for residents in the region to be prepared. This includes having emergency kits with food, water, and medical supplies, as well as having a plan for what to do during and after an earthquake.

Local governments should also have plans in place for responding to earthquakes and helping residents in affected areas. This includes having emergency shelters set up and mobilizing search and rescue teams.

Conclusion

The New Madrid Fault is a significant seismic zone that has produced some of the largest earthquakes in North America. While scientists cannot predict exactly when the next earthquake will occur, there are indicators that suggest one could be imminent. It’s important for residents in the region to be prepared and for local governments to have plans in place for responding to earthquakes.